by Dave Dellenbaugh

There are two reasons why getting too far to the sides of the course is even more risky on a run than a beat. First, your jibing angle is usually narrower than your tacking angle (except in lighter air with asymmetrical chutes). When your jibing angle is only 20° or 30°, for example, it's easy to sail past the layllne to the leeward mark (especially if there's a windshift or the mark was not placed perfectly).
Second, if the wind velocity changes at all, your jibing angle will be impacted a lot more than your tacking angle. In light to medium air, a small increase of just a knot or two in pressure might change your optimal heading by 10° or more! This is a huge factor that can easily make you go from understanding to overstanding by a lot!

The consequences of overstanding are roughly proportional to the wind velocity. In light air, it's not too bad to overstand a little since sailing higher and faster doesn't hurt your VMG too much. But in heavy air, when you can sail low and fast, reaching to the mark is a killer. Therefore, you should be conservative about layline calls in breeze and possibly willing to take slightly more risk in lighter air.
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